Ashok Elluswamy, Tesla AI lead, said efforts over the past several months went into making this new approach beat the previous v11 stack (developed over many years). We believe v12 has net surpassed it now, and hence the next set of 12.x releases should bring unprecedented progress.
This is the first version of FSD that uses neural networks “end-to-end”, i.e. going from raw camera videos and vehicle kinematics to producing control actions to drive the vehicle.
Dr. Know it All is expecting Tesla FSD to get as good as the best human drivers this year.
If Tesla FSD V12.3 is like chatGPT 3 or 3.5 then Tesla FSD V12.4 could be like GPT 4.
Efforts over the past several months went into making this new approach beat the previous v11 stack (developed over many years). We believe v12 has net surpassed it now, and hence the next set of 12.x releases should bring unprecedented progress.
— Ashok Elluswamy (@aelluswamy) March 17, 2024
Current Tesla v12.3 testers are expecting it to go wide soon.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
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the improvement rate of FSD is logarithmic, not linear. That is because of the supercompute and end to end ai and the huge database of videos Tesla can curate. We will see FSD becoming the best driver any human can be very soon, possible in 1 year !
I noticed people who are 50+ years old are making unrealistic timelines because they’re so scared it won’t come to fruition in their lifetime. Especially in longevity (LEV in 2029 and so on).
I think that we will have to wait and see. Too many promises were made and with way less impressive results.