An all-out trade war between the US and China would seem like a problem for the USA.
A batch of Boeing orders would be replaced by Airbus. US auto and iPhone sales in China would suffer a setback, and US soybean and maize imports would be halted.
California wine can be replaced with European and Australian wine.
China can reduce the Hollywood movies that it allows into China. Chinese people want to watch Hollywood movies but the government would prefer to let fewer Hollywood movies into the country. The movies would eventually make it in via piracy.
In 2016, The Verge and other sources noted how Apple cannot build an IPhone without China but China can build smartphones with Google’s open source Android system.
The leading states exporting to China are California and Washington. Those states were overwhelmingly anti-Trump.
Although recent leading rulings could impose costs on Android because of the Oracle ruling on Java.
The US and other countries needs China’s production of smartphone components as the basis for competitive value-added products.
There’s an asymmetry here that Mr. Trump seems unaware of. Apple can’t build an iPhone without China, but China can build hundreds of millions of devices approaching the iPhone’s quality without Apple’s help. China’s android phones makers are the 3rd, 4th and 5th place worldwide as of 2017-2018.
The president-elect has promised to bring manufacturing back to the States, but the only Apple product currently being made in the USA is the aged Mac Pro, which costs thousands of dollars, and Motorola’s failed experiment with the 2013 Moto X shows that smartphone assembly in the US is too costly to be viable.
How long would it take for the US to setup competitive robotic manufacturing of more components domestically?
The US can get some parts from South Korea instead of China. However, South Korea is Samsung which has issues.
Can the US set up competitive robotic manufacturing of computer and electronic and other components?
There are trends towards competitive low-cost robotic manufacturing.
The US as a policy or larger effort might be able to make the robotic factories over the next ten years. Much could be done with creating a competitive robotic supply chain over the next 5 years if there was sufficient motivations and incentives.
Wang is a prolific business-oriented writer of emerging and disruptive technologies. He is known for insightful articles that combine business and technical analysis that catches the attention of the general public and is also useful for those in the industries. He is the sole author and writer of nextbigfuture.com
, the top online science blog. He is also involved in angel investing and raising funds for breakthrough technology startup companies.
He gave the recent keynote presentation at Monte Jade event with a talk entitled the Future for You. He gave an annual update on molecular nanotechnology at Singularity University on nanotechnology, gave a TEDX talk on energy, and advises USC ASTE 527 (advanced space projects program). He has been interviewed for radio, professional organizations. podcasts and corporate events. He was recently interviewed by the radio program Steel on Steel on satellites and high altitude balloons that will track all movement in many parts of the USA.
He fundraises for various high impact technology companies and has worked in computer technology, insurance, healthcare and with corporate finance.
He has substantial familiarity with a broad range of breakthrough technologies like age reversal and antiaging, quantum computers, artificial intelligence, ocean tech, agtech, nuclear fission, advanced nuclear fission, space propulsion, satellites, imaging, molecular nanotechnology, biotechnology, medicine, blockchain, crypto and many other areas.