Earth Extinction Sized Comets

NASA has a catalog of many large comets and some of them are nearly as large or larger than the Chicxulub impactor (Dinosaur killer).

Comet 109P/Swift-Tuttle takes 133 years to orbit the Sun once. Swift-Tuttle last reached perihelion (closest approach to the Sun) in 1992 and will return again in 2125.

Swift-Tuttle is a large comet – its nucleus is 16 miles (26 kilometers) across. (That is more than twice the size of the object hypothesized to have led the demise of the dinosaurs.)

An huge volcanic comet, 12P/Pons-Brooks, has violently exploded for the second time in four months and it is heading towards the Earth. It will not hit the Earth but we could see it in the night sky around April 21, 2024.

It has a solid nucleus, with an estimated diameter of 18.6 miles (30 kilometers), and is filled with a mix of ice, dust and gas known as cryomagma. The comet is about three times bigger than Mount Everest. The asteroid that killed the dinosaurs was between 10 and 15 kilometers wide.

12P is currently hurtling toward the inner solar system, where it will be slingshotted around the sun on its highly elliptical 71-year orbit around the sun.

1P/Halley’s Comet would hit the with an impact of 175 million megatons of TNT or around 3.5 million Tsar Bomba.

The Chicxulub impactor (Dinosaur killer) was estimated to have had kinetic energy of 1.3×10^24𝐽 to 5.8×10^25𝐽 so from around twice to as much as eighty times as much.

The impact of Halley’s Comet would not be worse than the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs. The asteroid that caused the mass extinction event 65 million years ago is estimated to have been between 10 and 15 kilometers in diameter and had a kinetic energy equivalent to billions of atomic bombs. In contrast, Halley’s Comet is only around 15 kilometers long and 4 kilometers wide, and would not have nearly as much kinetic energy if it were to collide with Earth. Additionally, comets are made mostly of ice and dust, and would likely not cause as much damage as a solid rock asteroid.

4 thoughts on “Earth Extinction Sized Comets”

  1. Made me think of a sleeping man who is falling down a long shaft full of many spinning blades. He passes through a large number of them and then wakes and looks back up the shaft while he still falling. He then wonders how he got through all those blades successfully other than by dumb luck when each of them had a better than 50% chance of killing him outright.

    It doesn’t immediately occur to him that he wouldn’t be in a position to wonder about that had any of them hit him.

    It also hasn’t yet occurred to him to wonder how many blades are still below him.

    And yet we are perplexed by the Fermi Paradox.

  2. There might be black comets, the remnants of a large comet that has mostly volatilized leaving pitch-black organic matter and dust. They are almost undetectable. A large one could cause a lot of destruction.

    • Every time one of these comets get close to earth, we need to attach to it a large Enough mass satellite to manipulate it’s Trajectory and an energy source To continue repositioning it For decades, if not For centuries. I cannot think of a cheaper And a more elegant way To sway this comets.

      • Changing mass does not change orbit, because gravitational attraction due to mass is canceled out by the larger force required to accelerate the mass.

        Changing the velocity of the object changes the orbit (“delta v”).

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