Researchers published in the peer-reviewed Nature in Dec 2022 estimated that there were 14.83 million excess deaths globally (2020-2022), 2.74 times more deaths than the 5.42 million reported as due to COVID-19 for the period. The Global Covid deaths greatly in declined in 2023 but the excess deaths continued at far higher levels. In Japan excess deaths have risen to 20-25% beyond actuarially expected deaths.
What does this mean excess deaths? It means after insurance actuaries and scientists adjust for age and all other factors they have been able to precisely predict how many deaths should be happening. They compare to what was happening in 2015-2019 and find that the world has way more deaths than expected.
When the world has 10-15% more deaths than expected where it shows up in the global deaths statistics then something is horribly wrong. The spike in the chart below in the 1960s was the Communist China famine that killed 20-40 million over a three year period.
One in four of the current excess deaths from 2020-2023 were COVID deaths. The global COVID deaths in 2023 have dropped to about 100,000-200,000 but the global excess deaths are still millions beyond where they should be.
Latest figures show that in 2022, over 39,000 people in England died prematurely of cardiovascular conditions including heart attacks, coronary heart disease and stroke – an average of 750 people each week. It is the highest annual total since 2008. The UK heart disease deaths are part of the excess death picture. Last year, the British Heart Foundation reported that there have been over 100,000 excess deaths involving cardiovascular conditions in England since February 2020, in an analysis of data from the Office for Health Improvement and Disparities (OHID).
PNAS – Nov 2023, Variability in excess deaths across countries with different vulnerability during 2020–2023 The excess deaths for the US is 12% of all deaths for 2020-2023 and is over 1.2 million people.
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
I have previously seen graphs where this correlates pretty perfectly with the mass vaccination. Some countries where behind the curve in vaccination and the excess deaths lagged the same.
If this is the case, I predict that the insurance companies will have to do something and perhaps enforce higher premiums for vaccinated people.
These graphs shown show nothing remotely like that. They show higher deaths before mass vaccination exactly as would be expected. Tracked separately the data show a consistent pattern of much higher deaths among the unvaccinated. The pattern is strong enough that correlations with political party clearly show up. Excess deaths are consistently significantly higher in Republican counties in the US post vaccination given significantly lower vaccination rates. Many people lost their lives because of infection with the anti vax meme.
From the abstract of the PNAS study:
“Excess deaths (as proportion of expected deaths, p%) were inversely correlated with per capita GDP (r = −0.60), correlated with proportion living in poverty (r = 0.66), and modestly correlated with income inequality (r = 0.45). Incidence rate ratio for deaths was 1.062 (95% CI, 1.038–1.087) in more versus less vulnerable countries. Excess deaths started deviating in the two groups after the first wave (of Covid-19).”
It sounds like there is an increase in levels of poverty, which is highly correlated – and not just in this study – with premature “death from all causes” – which means undiagnosed cause, not literally every cause.
There are a number of studies – sociological, epidemiological, etc. – that show that GDP is a poor metric for determining national poverty rates, since it doesn’t account for wide GINI rates and levels of absolute poverty. A country can be producing more multi-millionaires while also producing more impoverished people, by hallowing out the middle class, or having disparate wealth outcomes due to regressive tax policies, for example.
Death rates are higher in Republican districts/states that invest less in education and health care – especially in states turning down Medicaid money. Tax cuts for the rich but services for the rest of us is welfare dependency. They also have lower GDP, lower social trust, took off masks faster and refused vaccinations more. I had a longer post of this and the damage Covid does to innate immunity that facilitates other viral infections, but it’s not making it through.
For such claim you should provide data.
The root causes per the medical medium: more pollutants that we com in contact with, the food we eat does not nourish our immune system, but the bugs, and it is getting worse, still it comes in contact with new viruses, and smarter. People immune system is broken in levels that wasn’t there before.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JDtCxonHT-Y&t=3045s
Calling yourself “The Medical Medium” is a strike against your credibility even before you say anything else.
How many deaths from the flu?
How do we measure excess deaths because the government and social media scared people away from visiting the doctor regarding heart disease, cancer, etc?
I wonder how many deaths were caused by the fear and depression the lock-down proponents/teacher’s union/college administrators inflicted upon students who had almost no risk of COVID death? Elementary School, Jr. High, High School, and College are the most important years for social development.
Yet the fearmongerers didn’t care. “You might kill granny!” Of course, most grannies didn’t want to be locked up either.
Authoritarians are evil. People who bow down to authoritarians are weak, selfish, and evil.
Thank God for the freedom lovers in Texas, Florida, Georgia, etc. We’d still be in lockdowns if people like Rogerio Penna were in charge…
“students who had almost no risk of COVID death?” Thats not true. While the danger to young people is clearly much less than the old, the stats are skewed because THE SCHOOLS WERE CLOSED AND YOUNG PEOPLE DIDNT MIX AT ALL. To say that young people were immune is completely false.
“To say that young people were immune is completely false.”
“students who had almost no risk of COVID death”
These two statements are not the same. Now, retract and apologize.
A lot of these are people who avoided an early diagnosis and treatment by missing their doctors during the lockdowns.
I am 99% sure the excess deaths are due to climate change and nothing to do with a forced medical intervention from a couple of years ago.
People are most definitely dying because they do not get enough Taylor Swift in their news. There was a Taylor Swift shortage that started in January-February 2021.
You’re a strange one Combinatorics. You’re right on the money with COVID but seem to be completely lost on the Russian – Ukraine war.
Just know the ones who brought you COVID, also brought you the Russian – Ukraine war.
“Just know the ones who brought you COVID, also brought you the Russian – Ukraine war.”
Bats? The Chinese lab?
NATO and Bush when in 2008 he said Ukraine and Georgia should join NATO, despite years of American analysts saying Russia would react violently at the prospect of those TWO countries joining?
Ukraine war came from a Chinese lab and poor standards for handling modified viruses? Who would have guessed.
As for Russia and my distaste for them I dislike authoritarians and Putin is definitely one (unfortunately one of many in the world). As a Gen Xer I don’t approve of rolling the tanks westward. Putin looked at the precarious economy of the world, the track record of the Obama-Biden administration (feckless vis-à-vis Crimea and playing footise with Iran), the bungled Afghanistan withdraw that telegraphed weakness and thought that taking Ukraine would be easy.
I think Penna kinda nailed it with NATO expansion poking the bear to the point of action. The difference between authoritarian regimes run by strong men, and western democracies dominated by special interests (i.e. oligarchs), is that everybody knows who is in charge in the former. I’d rather know who is the boss (Putin) than be constantly confounded in this system founded on lofty paper ideals (our constitution) wondering who to blame for the blatant corruption. I think I’d do just fine with my family values, work ethic and chosen profession in Putin’s Russia, although I’d rather live in San Diego and not sacrifice my sons to special (read indecisive) military operations. There is a lot less oppressive regulation in Russia at the movement. They’re not subsidizing windmills and solar panels, killing their diesel manufactures, halting pipe lines, pushing weak values in schools…. etc….
Just to clear the air I think Ukraine joining NATO is a horrible idea. Corruption is rampant and the recent scandal involving mortar shells is probably just the tip of the corruption iceberg.
Of course, no one wants to talk about the elephant in the room : as luck would have it, if you look at country statistics, mortality always increases after anti-covid vaccination campaigns. But of course, if you dare to question the official propaganda, you’re just a nasty conspiracy theorist.
Amazing… as if there were “anti-covid vaccination campaigns.” People got over the fear, uncertainty and doubt when everybody caught the virus anyway; those who refuse to admit that the RNA therapy injections didn’t work are in the minority.
They are above average.
But still quite below Covid pandemic levels. And most importantly, no huge peaks of 110%, 90% 50% excess like at Covid time, depending on country. (and let’s not forget we got those huge excess death peaks EVEN WITH ALL the precautions. It would be much more without precautions.)
Maybe you have noticed that Covid is over and yet the excess deaths are still too high. Almost as if something was done to younger healthy people who should not be at risk of dying.
It better be below Covid pandemic levels, given that the pandemic is over. It SHOULD be back to pre-Covid levels by now, except that something about Covid, or more likely the response to it, caused a durable reduction in world health.
The troubling thing is these excess deaths are amongst the young and not the elderly, as was the case with COVID. In the UK average age of death for COVID was above life expectancy.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/averageageofthosewhohaddiedwithcovid19
We had a new term introduced from Mark Lalonde’s 1974 pamphlet “A New Perspective on the Health of Canadians” -the “QALY”.
Quality Adjusted Life Year.
The new metric is “Life Years Lost.”
I took the QALY to be a derivative of the tax-paying potential of the individual less the government programme cost for that individual over an actuarial lifetime. ie, don’t die before 65, but hasten to do so unless you will have a large tax remittance in retirement.
Look at the increased all cause mortality since the imposition of the Covid vaxxes and see the difference a couple of generations makes. They are now willing to forego tax payments in order to lower the population, which can be replaced more cheaply with enhanced “immigration.”