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China per capita GDP (PPP) from 2010 to 2015 as projected by the IMF
China PPP per cap Other Country Matched 2010 7,240 More Algeria 2010, Below Bosnia 2010 2011 8,032 Ecuador 2010, Ukraine 2013 2012 8,932 Thailand 2011 2013 9,930 Thailand 2013 2014 11,039 Brazil 2010 2015 12,255 Brazil 2012 Assuming continued 11% per year growth 2016 13,600 Turkey 2011 2017 15,100 Argentina 2010 2018 16,760 Russia 2011 2019 18,600 Mexico 2015, Poland 2010 2020 20,650 Trinidad 2010 2021 22,920 Portugal 2012 2022 25,440 Czech Republic 2011, Saudi Arabia 2012 2023 28,242 New Zealand 2011 2024 31,350 Italy 2013
The per capita GDP growth gets more uncertain 3-5 years out and even more so beyond 6 years. However, even if China starts losing a percentage point or more of growth for every three years, China is likely to get to Russia’s 2010 level by 2020 and has a reasonable shot at Italy’s current level in 2024-2032.
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Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
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