25 years ago speculations on what nano would deliver
First science discipline that focused on the impacts of what would happen with what was being built
Thought about the consequences
Futurist – hearing the inflection point coming
Overestimate early (before infection) and then underestimate later (after inflection)
Moore’s law has been the mother of all inflection points. It an exponential but also a constant
Jim Dater -Forecasts have three things Constants, cycles and novelties
A constant has been Moore’s law, more constants that cycles
Cycle’s – business cycles, sunspot cycle, kondratiev waves, may not be here now but will come back later
More cycles than novelties
Novelties – first time more urban than rural population (first time ever)
Small novelties could set off sparks
Roomba – names for them
2004 Grand challenge – a lot of crashes
Oct 2005 – 22 out of 23 got further than the best of 2004 and 5 completed the race
Nov 2007 – another successful ace
Oct 2010 revealed that Google had been running robotic cars
Enhance the rental car experience
Have the robot car drive to the user.
Whistle car and robo-taxi
Pay for the privilege of driving google streetview cars
Have super-collision avoidance and other driving enhancements instead of full-robo cars
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.