The major forecasting models for US COVID deaths for the next three weeks have a low prediction of 18,000 new COVID deaths to 39,000. This predicting from now to March 20, 2021.
The path of the pandemic for the next 6-10 weeks is important to see if variants of the virus are causing more problems in spite of significant vaccinations. 66.5 million vaccines have been administered in the USA. Vaccinations in the US are at 1.5 million per day now and should rise to 3 million per day by April.
The four models in the middle of 11 models covered at Fivethirtyeight are forecasting 31,000 to 36,000 new deaths by March 20, 2021.
Johns Hopkins currently reports 507,000 total US COVID deaths. Cumulative World COVID deaths are over 2.5 million.
The seven day moving average for US daily COVID deaths is still at 2000-2150 per day.
The US has about 15,000 COVID ICU beds occupied. The peak of COVID ICU bed occupancy was 29,000.
SOURCES- Fivethirtyeight, CDC, Johns Hopkins
Written By Brian Wang, Nextbigfuture.com