In the Kherson region, Ukrainians have increased their bridgehead on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River to the point where many Russian sources started raising the alarm. Ukrainians established control over the proximate island with a lot of places for docking. Ukrainians are present in the residential area of one of the biggest and most important islands in the region – the Antonivsky Island. Control over the eastern bank of the river gives a lot of freedom for the Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups. This 20-km wide bridgehead is already hard to control, so if Ukrainians establish control over the remaining residential areas and get closer to the mainland, then a lot of Ukrainian sabotage teams will slip through and assist in the main phase of the counteroffensive operation by destroying strategic objects and critical railways and bridges.
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One of a few cases where tactical nuclear weapons would be most effective. On the beachheads.
The US should definitely give airplanes to Ukraine.
Both fighters and bombers.
Why are we scared that they drop bombs inside Russia?
The Russians have been doing that to Ukraine since February 2022
As an alternative, or at same time we should help Ukraine built their own aircraft
Australian F-18 are available with spare parts. Australia is decommissioning their F-18. Let Ukraine have them. Also this is stupid , how come Russia is allowed to use airplanes to attack Ukraines interior but Ukraine can’t fly into Russia? With air superiority Russia could win by attrition.
Ukraine has plenty of anti missile and anti aircraft batteries at this point.
Air superiority isn’t what it used to be without state of the art radar absorbing hulls to prevent your aircraft being detected from the ground (or the sky).
This is going to be a miserable affair.
Heavy rains over poorly draining lowlands, mediocre russian defenses and even worse mobility, insufficient high precision strike equipment, old Soviet-style Ukraine armor and rolling artillery… a circus of slowing moving, underperforming/ poorly-trained irregulars, volunteers, and convicts.
What even is the best strategy to isolate Crimea and flank the line near the nuclear plant? – drones, small teams, and precision hits from Mykolaiv/Kherson? Ukraine will luck out at least for the first few hundred miles since they will find half-starved russians, skulking with trench-foot in their fox-holes and ditches, without support or quick evacuation. The Ukranians might find themselves facing a bit more air power than in the past with a lot less cover. IF they can secure a continuous line to the Sea of Azov, they may hold it and attrition Crimea and push over the beaches to below Melitopol early in the summer.
Ukrainians barely have anybody left to fight with. That’s why they’ve lost Bakhmut. They’re in no position to turn the tide of battle, and make any big breakthroughs.
Let’s recall these words in a month or so. I heard something similar last summer.
It only really shows that the Russians are not playing their best game, and happy to cede an area of marshes and bogs to the Ukrainians. Its not like there about to be a hoard of Leopard tanks rushing through into the Russian’s soft underbelly or anything.
It’s all soft underbelly. I can’t think of a single military thing that the Russians are world class in – even their hypersonic missiles have poor controllers and their SPETSNAZ are all undisciplined savages…. it’s only the endless, bloated hordes of otherwise untrained, unwilling, and poorly lead ‘soldier-like entities’ herded into the right direction and threatened from behind that they have made any stumbling forward movement at all in Ukraine. This entire exercise has been an unbelievably backward cautionary tale of an ‘alleged’ superpower being utterly unable to show any evidence of being a developing country much less a respectable influence on the UN Security Council. Not a single pro-Russian political, economic, or military milestone has been accomplished, with very real likelihood that the entire ‘federation’ will collapse into a Yugoslavia 80s’ kind of morass by this time next year, with little chance of outside assistance or pity. Most ridiculous national effort ever.
Hard to say offensive has started. Pathetic help from Joe Biden,he refuses to send ATACMS,and F-16’s.