Russia-Ukraine Buildup 2021

Ukraine’s army commander Gen Ruslan Khomchak says Russia has deployed 28 battalion tactical groups near Ukraine’s eastern border and in Crimea. This is 20,000-25,000 troops. Russian officials have not confirmed that, nor given any precise figures. The Russian military has confirmed that an airborne assault brigade – about 4,000 troops – is being redeployed to …

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Iran Nuclear Program Has a Potential 3 Month Breakout But Loses a Lead Scientist

A top Iranian nuclear scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, was killed by five gunmen. There have been successful assassinations of leading Iranian nuclear scientists since 2010. This is the first successful assassination since 2012. The Iranian government has difficulty recruiting scientists for nuclear research. Arms Control Report on Iran’s Nuclear Program The IAEA concluded that Iran’s uranium …

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Middle East Endgame With Iran Contained

Iran should give up the mistaken belief that they will be allowed to get a nuclear bomb. The countries that oppose Iran developing nuclear weapons have strengthened their alliance. Iran hopes that Biden wins the election and that Joe restores looser terms and lifts sanctions. Israel Can Hit Iran Without Midair Refueling if Basing From …

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China-India Firm Up Border Defences

RUSI provides an analysis of China and India military balance and the border war situation. Royal United Service Institute (RUSI) is the world’s oldest and the UK’s leading defense and security think tank. Its mission is to inform, influence and enhance public debate on a safer and more stable world. RUSI is a research-led institute, …

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How China and India Matchup Militarily if the Border War Escalates

China and India had a border skirmish which resulted in 20 deaths on the India side and maybe 43 on the China side. The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) has various maps and analysis of the situation. Indian experts have disputed the ASPI analysis. It is a highly mountainous terrain bordering China-Tibet, India and near …

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Estimate of 4-6 Weeks for Coronavirus Peak in the USA

Dr. Scott Gottlieb, member of the boards of Pfizer and biotech company Illumina and former FDA commissioner, gave an estimate of 4-6 weeks for the peak of coronavirus cases in the USA and New York. New York could peak in 2-3 weeks. New York still has 5 weeks to go. 56% of the people in …

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USA Seems to Have Upgraded Assassination Technologies

The USA has had drone and airstrike capabilities for over two decades but the quality of recent US assassinations suggests improved long-term target tracking. This is likely due to a combination of AI, big data and improved imaging and regular intelligence and military operations. I think the situation is similar to WW2 when the allies …

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Oil Prices Up 19% At the Open and USA is Ready to Hit Saudi Attackers

Oil prices hit their highest in four months after Houthi drone attacks damaged Saudia Arabia oil refineries. At the start of trading, Brent crude jumped 19% to $71.95 a barrel, while the other major benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, rose 15% to $63.34. Iran has been backing the Houthi. Saudi Arabia oil supply was attacked. There …

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US Sanctions Cut Iranian Oil Exports by Five Times and Iran is in an Economic Depression

Iran shipped over 2.5 million barrels per day of crude oil in April 2018, the month before Trump withdrew the US from the nuclear deal but monthly oil exports were down five times to 330,000 to 500,000 barrels per day in May, 2019. Oil made up 80% of Iran’s exports. Ongoing estimates are that Iran …

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