Seven Years of India GDP Growth Was Overstated at 7% Per Year Instead of 4.5%
Official Indian estimates placed annual average GDP growth between 2011-12 and 2016-17 at about 7 percent but new research estimates that actual growth may have been about 4.5 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval of 3.5 – 5.5 percent. The evidence, based on disaggregated data from India and cross-sectional/panel regressions, is robust. India’s former …