How much of a gamechanger is the Anthropic deal with SpaceX? What is the income statement impact ? What is likely to happen for the SpaceX IPO pricing and trading on the day and for the rest of the year. As a disclaimer and disclosure, Brian is an investor with stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and …
Anthropic is likely at 75-90% profit margin most of the time on user subscriptions. Most users are likely in the 10-50% usage levels and some don’t use it all just like stored balance credit cards. This means that AI data center operators at 60-80% profit margin or chip and memory makers in the same range …
The FCC approved the $24 billion Echostar sale of spectrum to ATT and the $20 billion cash and stock sale of spectrum to SpaceX. The FCC approved it for US customers to get faster speeds, increased coverage, stronger competition, and innovative new services direct from next-gen satellites straight to your smartphone. Thanks to President Trump, …
In May, 2025, Trump’s Middle East tour (Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE) where he brought 40+ executives including tech/finance heavyweights like Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Boeing, Amazon, Blackstone, resulted in major announcements for the big CEOs. May 2025 Middle East Deals were announced on-site or within days. Massive investment pledges into the U.S. — …
The bear cases against Tesla are being defused and destroyed. Profit Margin Back Over 20% and Increasing. Car sales increasing in China and Europe. Car exports from China increasing. More margin from FSD. FSD TAM will double in Q3. 500,000+ quarterly car sales can finally happen. Robotaxi unsupervised making steady progress. Tesla Semi mass production …
The economics of Tesla Semi versus Diesel Trucks. It is $40000 for two overnight chargers or $188000 for two chargers for 30 minute charging. Tesla has just introduced Semi Charging for Businesses. Pricing starts at $40,000 for 2 Basechargers or $188,000 for two Megachargers. Options: Megacharger Cabinet With Megacharger Post: • Max DC output: Up …
XAI gets to about breakeven by renting half of their AI Data center and Anthropic can serve its models and more money and can get to a better IPO. Both get to IPO before OpenAI. Both stronger against OpenAI. OpenAI IPO is hurt. Anthropic is already at pre-IPO valuation of $1.2 trillion. SpaceX XAI will …
Starlink supplier projects 100M starlink high speed internet terminals 2028 and 200 million 2030. This is inline with my projections from last week based on looking at customers and price points. I divided up countries into high speed internet subscription tiers. And I have project may ten Starship launches in 2026 and 100 in 2027 …
Semianalysis AI Value Capture – The Shift To Model Labs Anthropic is now making $44 billion per year run rate and this is heading to $100 billion per year by the end of 2026. As of today, Memory SOCAMM contract pricing paid by Nvidia at ~$8/GB in 1Q26, a sharp step-up from 4Q25 to 1Q26. …
The S&P Dow Jones Indices has officially proposed rule changes where megacaps like SpaceX will be included into the index in 6 months instead of 12 months. This would align also with the unlocking of shares of many SpaceX SPV investors after 6 months. When Tesla was included into the SP500 the shares went up …
Cursor is already at ~$2 Billion ARR (annual recurring revenue as of February 2026) and was on track to triple to over $6 billion ARR by the end of 2026 even before the xAI deal. The brand-new partnership with xAI/SpaceX gives them massive Colossus supercomputer access, which removes their biggest remaining bottleneck and should let …