Nextbigfuture has framed levels of world altering economic progress and identified progress we are making with key super technologies that has massive world changing potential. There are examples of significant world-changing developments and technologies. There was the rise of China, the rise and impact of the internet and cellphones-smartphones. There was the first impact of …
In 2014, Arianespace had 60% of commercial launch but they were passed by SpaceX in launch market share in 2017. Paris and Rome have created a “working group on the future of European launchers” which will deliver conclusions in September. SpaceX was third place in number of launches in 2014 and 2015. SpaceX passed Russia …
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has just gave a zoom conference with two of his European counterparts that there is the possibility of Central Bank Digital Currencies. Jerome Powell talked about a possible move to Central Bank Digital Currencies. He said this would be slow but transparent process which would require specific authorization from Congress. …
People who reach a comfortable retirement have savings, assets and investments that enable them to pay for their spending without being required to work. Financial institutions and governments have described this as an achievable and desirable state for most of the middle class. It was generally argued that it was a crisis that people would …
ARK’s 2025 price target for Tesla is $3,000. ARK’s 25% bear case is for Tesla at $1,500 in 2025. The 25% bull case is Tesla could be worth roughly $4,000 per share. They published their model on Github and invite you to test your own assumptions and/or craft visualizations from the simulation outputs for our …
The historical trend is that people are busier and richer now than they were in the past. People have become busier in most everything except how much they farm, walk or have hard manual labor. The trends mean that the major things people own increase faster than the number of people. People or households reach …
SpaceX Starship will be a fully reusable rocket. It will be able to fly 6000-8000 miles on Earth which is the same as long-range commercial passenger planes. It will do this in a single stage. It will remain a fully re-used one-piece vehicle. However, SpaceX Starship will be 25 times faster than current planes. Many …
Science Fiction, scenarios and visions of the future often emphasize fears and risks of collapse or depressions. Science fiction usually focuses on civilizations with major problems so that stories have tension and drama. A civilization with scarce resources is also a simple world to understand. Scenarios planners want to look at three to eight scenarios …
SLS (Space Launch System) is up over 8 minutes in its full-duration test engine test fire. It then had a safe engine shutdown. The first SLS green run test fire cut off after about 67 seconds. The full test fire mimics the roughly eight-minute engine fire to reach orbit. It has “only” taken about ten …
Nextbigfuture interviewed Tom Noel, ColdQuanta’s Director of Quantum Computing and Interim CEO Dan Caruso. ColdQuanta is using neutral atoms instead of trapped ions as the basis for its quantum computers. ColdQuanta is building a functional first system now and believes they will be able to scale to the 1000s of qubits faster than competing approaches. …
Researchers estimated 16 million people in the United States may have had undiagnosed, asymptomatic COVID-19 as of September 2020 and this was double the 7.5 million confirmed cases. Testing has increased. However, the tests are trying to detect active cases of COVID. The ratio of undiagnosed cases to confirmed would gradually reduce. There are now …