Belt and Road investments versus Developed world investments

The American Enterprise Institute (AEI) has a report that China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has spent $340 billion from 2014-2017. Private companies in China tend to invest in the USA, UK, Switzerland and Australia. They are acquiring hotels, entertainment firms and real estate. There is also some M and A activity for buying profitable …

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Can a trade war now defer the day when China makes competitive wide-body jets?

One of the stated aims of the Trump trade sanctions is to get China to respect US intellectual property protection. Many U.S. firms have been willing to transfer technology in return for access to China’s labor and consumer markets. US sanctions did hurt ZTE. Most companies are not as protective as SpaceX about innovation and …

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US-China in early stages of trade war

Donald Trump slapped tariffs on at least $50 billion in Chinese imports. China has said that they will retaliate. China announced a 25 percent levy on U.S. pork imports — a heavy blow to Iowa, the top pork-producing state and a political battleground. China could hit airplanes, cars, technology and agriculture products. The US exports …

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Hundreds of millions of uneducated and unemployed Indians could turn to violence

Milan Vaishnav, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, notes that despite great projections for India from McKinsey, the World Bank and IBM and many others, India’s rise is not assured. Milan wrote an article for Foreign Affairs which covers the work of Indian journalist Snigdha Poonam which shows that is a high risk that India could …

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Could a China-South Korea to Europe rail connection be used to buy off North Korea?

Like China, South Korea has used and plans to use high-speed rail for economic development. South Korea and China both have plans to create high-speed rail and cargo links to Europe. The South Korea connection would require rail lines through North Korea. The alternative is an $88 billion undersea train tunnel from South Korea to …

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Re-examining the China Economic Miracle

How did China’s economy really get to there it is now? * China like Britain, US, Germany and Japan have successfully used selective protectionism to develop their companies and economy. Ethiopia and other African countries are getting some success copying China’s development model * Despite claims of impending financial crisis. China’s rise over 40 years …

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Atlanta Federal Reserve GDP model predicts USA 5.4% GDP growth in first quarter 2018 – highest since 2003

The Atlanta Federal Reserve GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2018 is 5.4 percent on February 1, up from 4.2 percent on January 29. The forecast of real consumer spending growth increased from 3.1 percent to 4.0 percent after this morning’s Manufacturing ISM Report On …

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Bloomberg calculates that China GDP growth rate was overstated by 2% in 2015

China’s GDP growth rate in 2015 was probably overstated by “a couple of percentage points,” according to new data analysis by Bloomberg Economics. Some of the alternative growth metrics indicate higher GDP growth than what China has reported for some years. Many indicators suggest a wider variation in growth. Brian WangBrian Wang is a Futurist …

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China will again triple dredging and will have over 50 fortified islands by 2030 in South China Sea

China has purchased 200 dredging ships over the last 11 years. Most of the technology was from Germany, Japan and other countries. China tripled its dredging capacity over the last 15 years. China can now build its own large and modern dredging ships. China has stated that a US ship passing within a dozen miles …

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