SpaceX lost the Massey static fire stand due to a large explosion. SpaceX appears to be converting the first launch tower for static fire tests. They will perform one or two static fires for the Starship rockets that they plan to launch. They will then remove the static fire related equipment and perform the last …
Terraforming Mars with rapid warming particles or gases could enable plants to start growing within 40 years. We could raise Mars’s average global temperature by tens of degrees within a few decades. SpaceX Starship combined with proposed new warming techniques, could potentially raise Mars’s temperature by 30 °C to permit liquid water for the first …
Developed in collaboration with Mach33, ARK’s open-source SpaceX model yields an expected enterprise value in 2030 of ~$2.5 trillion, generating a ~38% compound annual rate of return from its last funding round at $350 billion in December 2024.1 Tuned to the 75th and 25th percentile Monte Carlo outcomes, our bull and bear cases are ~$3.1 …
Elon Musk says SpaceX Starship will departs for Mars at the end of next year, carrying Optimus. If those landings go well, then human landings may start as soon as 2029, although 2031 is more likely. There will likely be hundreds to thousands of Optimus Teslabots on the unmanned missions. There will be a larger …
What is we used all of the solar energy on Mars to power an AI data center? How many 1000-watt GPUs can be powered? Calculate the Total Solar Power Intercepted by Mars Mars receives solar energy based on the sunlight hitting its cross-sectional area. The radius of Mars is approximately 3,390 km. 36 trillion square …
Nuclear pulse propulsion is a technology that would work. It was being developed in the 1960s but it was stopped because of the nuclear test ban treaty and concerns over fallout inside the magnetosphere of the earth. The reasons not to use Project Orion or to not massively rely on nuclear power fade away on …
Robert Zubrin, Presiden of the Mars Society, has developed an updated Mars plan that builds on his original Mars Direct proposal. This new plan integrates modern spaceflight technologies, such as SpaceX’s Starship, with his core principles of cost-effectiveness, efficiency, and the use of local Martian resources. Central to this vision is a conceptual spacecraft referred …
As I have posted, I am a top 8 predictor on Metaculus out of 34617 people according to Metaculus for baseline accuracy. I was asked by a commenter what my public prediction is for will humans land on Mars by 2030? Yes, I believe humans will land on Mars by 2030. I am superconfident SpaceX …
Safely and prudently sending a manned mission that arrives and lands before Trump leaves office is possible. Every 26 months there are launch windows to send missions from Earth to Mars. SpaceX is working toward sending five SpaceX Starships to Mars in 2026. The unmanned missions in 2026 could expand with government support. President Trump …
Trump said “We will pursue our manifest destiny into the stars by launching American astronauts to plant the Stars and Stripes on the planet Mars”. Elon Musk’s reaction to Trump saying today: “We will pursue our manifest destiny into the stars by launching American astronauts to plant the Stars and Stripes on the planet Mars.” …
Symmetrical wave ripples identified with NASA’s Curiosity rover in ancient lake deposits at Gale crater provide a key paleoclimate constraint for early Mars: At the time of ripple formation, climate conditions must have supported ice-free liquid water on the surface of Mars. These features are the most definitive examples of wave ripples on another planet. …