Washington University IHME COVID Projections Are Embarrassing

IHME (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) has a statistical model to forecast COVID deaths and hospitalizations. The Annals of Internal Medicine had a review from 2020. The IHME projections are based not on transmission dynamics but on a statistical model with no epidemiologic basis. Specifically, the model used reported worldwide COVID-19 deaths and extrapolated …

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Obesity Triples Severe COVID Risk and Prior COVID Infected Are 3 Times Safer Than Vaccinated

Covid-19 death rates are 10 times higher in countries where more than half of the adult population is classified as overweight according to a comprehensive report from the World Obesity Federation has found. Many people want to point to some moral failing to not comply with mask usage or insufficient vaccination as the reason for …

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CDC Predicts 11% to 95% Increase in US COVID Deaths in Next 3 Weeks

The CDC (US Center for Disease Control) predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 deaths will likely increase over the next 4 weeks, with 8,900 to 15,600 new deaths likely reported in the week ending January 8, 2022. The CDC recorded 8000 covid deaths in the prior 7 days. The national ensemble predicts that …

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Rejuvenating the Immune System and Protecting Old People From COVID

Technion-Israel Institute of Technology scientists have found a way to rejuvenate the aging process of the body’s immune system. B cells (aka B lymphocytes) are the cells that produce antibodies against any pathogen that enters the body. They play a key role in protecting people from viruses and diseases. B cells are produced in bone …

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Global Supply Chain Hit as China Impacted by Delta Covid, Flooding and Typhoons

China has travel and other restrictions to fight its latest delta COVID-19 outbreak. The outbreak is in its fifth week and involving more than a dozen cities. China closed the world’s third-busiest port after a single worker tested positive for COVID-19. The Meidong Terminal processes 25% of the cargo that passes through the Ningbo-Zhoushan port. …

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COVID Surging in Indonesia and Global Vaccination

Indonesia’s health ministry reported over 12000 weekly COVID cases last week but these are underreported infection rates. Health restrictions and travel bans are being ignored and COVID testing is underfunded. Indonesian COVID vaccination rates are below 5% and Indonesia is using the less effective Chinese COVID vaccine. It is expected that Indonesia is building up …

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Excess Deaths from COVID Pandemic

In March 2020, the Imperial College of London forecasted global 2020 pandemic deaths of 40 million if no action was taken, and now the Economist magazine model shows nearly 10 million excess global deaths. The official reported global COVID deaths is about 3.4 million. The official reported global COVID deaths increased by 800,000 from March …

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