predictions Archive

futureForecasting Military Technology 2020-2040

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Michael Hanlon has an updated forecast which areas of military technology could have revolutionary change over the next 20 years. Revolutionary change is defined as a type and pace of progress that renders obsolete old weapons, tactics and operational approaches …

artificial intellgenceAI will create millions more jobs than are lost because of economic growth

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AI and related technologies such as robots, drones and autonomous vehicles could provide a net boost to employment in China of around 12% over the next two decades, equating to around 90 million additional jobs. Around 26% of existing jobs …

chinaWhat if World Business Cycles are less US-centric?

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China economy on a GDP purchasing power parity basis became the largest in 2013 and it is now 25% larger than the USA. China’s economy will be 30% larger in 2019 and 50% larger in 2023. China’s GDP statistics do …

asiaWorld population is now half middle class or richer

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There are 3.7 billion people in the global middle class ($11-110 per day in PPP). This is 48% of the world’s population. An additional 190 million (2.5%) are richer than global middle class. The world population is 7.65 billion. The …

climate changeIndia’s emissions and purchasing power GDP

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British Petroleum publishes an annual energy and economics report for all countries. The 2018 BP Statistical Review of World Energy, indicated the world reached a new peak in CO2 emissions. Asia Pacific is now responsible for nearly 50% of global …

economyRecessions usually occur 10-22 months after interest rate curve inverts

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The U.S. economy is growing at a fast clip, and the bull market is entering its ninth year. Some economists are starting worry over rising interest rates and a negative signal from the bond market called a flattening yield curve. …

artificial intelligenceAI projects are on pace to take over most of the world’s computing resources around 2025

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OpenAI has determined that the computing used in Artificial Intelligence projects has doubled every 3 months since 2012. This has been an increase of 300,000 times since 2012 versus 12 times if it was following a Moore’s law doubling every …

citiesChina’s Casino City Macau will have highest per capita GDP in 2020

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The IMF’s World Economic Outlook Update predicts Macau will behave the world’s highest per capita GDP of US$143,116 in 2020. Qatar will be second with US$139,151. Qatar has a population of 2.5 million. Macau has a population of 650,000. Macau …

bitcoinExchange Traded Funds Explained and Advantages When Cryptocurrency ETFs are approved

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Exchange traded funds can be traded like stocks but they can track any index or type of financial assets. They can track commodities or a basket of stocks or bonds. There are several groups trying to create cryptocurrency ETFs. There …

bitcoinRounding up hyperbullish price predictions and the stated reasons

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Bitcoin has fallen back to the mid-$7000 support level after rallying over $8000. Bitcoin had a peak in January, 2018. Various bitcoin bulls have doubled down on their price predictions. Most of the hyperbullish predictions of $25,000 to 100,000 prices …