World Population in 2100 Mainly Impacted by Family Size in Africa

The 2019 revision of the World Population Prospects (WPP), the United Nations projected that the world’s population would grow from 7.7 billion in 2019 to reach 8.5 billion in 2030, 9.7 billion in 2050 and 10.9 billion in 2100. These figures are based on the “medium variant” projection, which assumes a decline in fertility for …

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US COVID Daily Deaths Tracking Towards More Pessimistic Models

This is an update on the projection that the US will reach 500,000 cumulative COVID deaths according to the Worldometer tracking. Worldometers reporting about 489,571 deaths on February 11, 2021. John Hopkins reports 471,567 total US COVID deaths as of February 10, 2021, 475k on Feb 11 and 478k as of Feb 12. John Hopkins …

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US Passing 500,000 Cumulative Covid Deaths in One Week and Maybe 1 Million This Summer

The US currently records 474,915 deaths from COVID and the seven day average or daily deaths is over 3000 per day. This will likely update to about 476,000 deaths by the end of the day Feb 7, 2021. UPDATE – adjusted for variance between IHME and Worldometers reporting of death totals on Jan 29. Feb …

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Wells Fargo Harvey Was Wrong About 2020 But Predicts 2021 Anyway

Wells Fargo, Chris Harvey, was wrong about 2020. He called for getting out of the stock market before the 16% increase in the SP500 in 2020. “We kinda hate this market,” Harvey told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Wednesday. “When did we stop liking this market? It’s been relatively recent. The market has moved very close …

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Updating the View of the Post-Pandemic Future

Seven months ago, Nextbigfuture looked at the post pandemic world future as the pandemic was starting. We are now about halfway through the global pandemic. The World Bank’s baseline projection is for a 5.2% global economic contraction. China and several other Asian countries will have positive GDP growth in 2020. The US and many other …

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COVID Helps China’s Economy Pass EU in 2021 and 2025-2030 for the USA

The double whammy for the European Union GDP is Brexit and COVID. In 2019, the EU had a combined GDP of $18.3 trillion. The UK leaving removes $2.5 trillion. COVID removed another 10-12% in 2020. The Jan, 2021 GDP will be after Brexit is official and enacted on Dec 31, 2020. $15.8 trillion after the …

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Canada’s Population at 38 Million and Adding 4 Million Immigrants from Now to 2030

Canada’s population is passing 38 million and new immigration plans will push annual immigration over 400,000 per year. Canada’s immigration plan targeted a level of 361,000 immigrants in 2022 but the high range would allow 390,000 immigrants in 2022. Canada will release a 2021-2023 immigration plan in October, 2020. Canada has been increasing annual immigration …

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