predictions Archive

futureMicrosoft wants low error topological quantum computers on its Azure cloud within 5 years

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Microsoft is leading the development of topological quantum computing which it claims is far less error-prone than rival quantum computing approaches. Microsoft wants to apply 1000 low error topological quantum qubits in about five years on the Azure cloud computing …

asiaASEAN economy should be larger than European Union by 2050

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With a projected annual growth rate of over 5% a year, ASEAN is forecasted to overtake the EU and Japan to become the 4th largest economy in the world by 2050, behind China, India, and the US. This growth is …

asiaASEAN economy should be larger than European Union by 2050

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With a projected annual growth rate of over 5% a year, ASEAN is forecasted to overtake the EU and Japan to become the 4th largest economy in the world by 2050, behind China, India, and the US. This growth is …

iranIran’s political and economic collapse seems gradual but could it shift to sudden?

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Eight years after Iran’s Green Movement and antigovernment protests, will the current unrest in the nation have no lasting impact or is it the beginning of the end for the repressive theocracy? Abbas Milani, a Hoover research fellow has made …

iranIran's political and economic collapse seems gradual but could it shift to sudden?

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Eight years after Iran’s Green Movement and antigovernment protests, will the current unrest in the nation have no lasting impact or is it the beginning of the end for the repressive theocracy? Abbas Milani, a Hoover research fellow has made …

economic impactUS economy growing faster than expected and in April is past $20 trillion GDP

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In CBO’s (Congressional Budget Office) projections, the growth of real GDP exceeds the growth of real potential output over the next two years, putting upward pressure on inflation and interest rates. But during the 2020– 2026 period, a number of factors …

artificial intelligenceAI Business value is $1.2 trillion in 2018 and will be $3.9 trillion in 2022

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Global business value derived from artificial intelligence (AI) is projected to total $1.2 trillion in 2018, an increase of 70 percent from 2017, according to Gartner, Inc. AI-derived business value is forecast to reach $3.9 trillion in 2022. The Gartner …

africaBy 2025 Asia could pass South America on per person income

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Asia could pass South America on per capita GDP around 2025. China and ASEAN countries are growing GDP at 5-7% per year and India is growing at 6-8% per year. South America has basically flat growth on GDP per capita …

africaPopulation projections of 11.2 billion in 2100 imagines dropping birth rate in Africa but 16 billion more likely

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Africa’s population growth rate has not declined since 1955. The annual population growth rate increased from 2.22% in 1955 to 2.85% in 1985. Then it went down to 2.47% in 2000 but then went back up to 2.60% in 2010-2015 …

futureNew Automation job study says 14% job losses not 47% over 20 years but youth unemployment and low skill jobs hard hit

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An OECD report on automation project forecasts fewer job losses to automation. Building on the expert assessment carried out by Carl Frey and Michael Osborne in 2013, the paper estimates the risk of automation for individual jobs based on the …