An AI expert from Anthropic predicts a mostly smooth transition for AI over the next 2-3 years where business adopts best practice AI that is unleashing 10X productivity. This will be great value creation that would payoff the trillions we are and will invest. Perfecting and scaling what AI is capable of now and what …
Nvidia researcher James Fan proposes physical Turing test for robots. The robots do not have to be humanoid robots but he wants the bots to go into a very, very messy room and clean it up and prepare a meal for two and set the table. There would be a prepared clean room, the meal …
Yann LeCun is both a giant in the field of AI but also a major skeptic of the ultimate potential of large language models. He is a major skeptic about large language models getting to TRUE AI (aka real AGI or actual superintelligence). He feels the LLM AI will not be able to learn the …
Tesla watchers are eagerly waiting for the new cheaper models. You have questions, I have answers. Here I answer all the questions about the new models. How much will they cost? How many will Tesla make each year? How quickly will they be made ? How many will be made each year? Here we do …
As I have posted, I am a top 8 predictor on Metaculus out of 34617 people according to Metaculus for baseline accuracy. I was asked by a commenter what my public prediction is for will humans land on Mars by 2030? Yes, I believe humans will land on Mars by 2030. I am superconfident SpaceX …
I have made several thousand public predictions at Metaculus. I , Brian Wang, ranked 8th in Baseline Accuracy out of 34617 forecasters. This is a 99.98 percentile ranking. Apparently, some people do not understand a description converted into a mathematical term. Percentile is a mathematical term that is not saying there was X% correct. I …
Elon Musk made huge announcements that Teslabot will start ramping mass production this year and reach 500,000 to 1 million in 2027. The targets are 5,000 bots in 2025 with Q4 2025 being the start of a factory and 50,000 to 100,000 in 2026 and 500,000 to 1 million in 2027. This would be huge …
Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla Full Self Driving Unsupervised (no human driver) is already being used by Tesla employees. Tesla is still on track for robotaxi and unsupervised FSD commercial release in California and Austin later in 2025. $tsla elon just confirmed that they’re running unsupervised FSD trials with employees right now, and will launch …
Sam Altman talks about AGI products in 2025 and setting OpenAI sights on ASI (Superintelligence). [OpenAI and Sam Altman] are now confident they know how to build AGI as they have traditionally understood it. They believe that, in 2025, the world may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output …
The billionaire investors and entrepreneurs at the All in Podcast described 2025 as the year of AI and robots. I, Brian Wang, and Randy Kirk reviewed why and how AI and robots will be transforming the world. Summarizing the key points and claims and providing context. Dave Frieberg says 2025 is the year when people …
Brian Wang has had over 90% accuracy with public predictions on public websites like Metaculus and Manifold. OpenAI O3 model has shown that greater than human PHD reasoning is possible but with about 30,000 GPUs taking 30 minutes to infer the answer. I forecast an increase to 1 million GPU AI training from 100,000 at …