Which Car Companies Goes Bankrupt or Restructures First? They will be losing 50-90% of their legacy auto business from 2024-2028. When and how fast will depend upon their region and types of cars they make. Large trucks and SUVs will take 2-5 years longer to replace. China and Europe and transition about 2-4 years faster …
Elon Musk believes 2029 is the year we can achieve both AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and humans on Mars. Clearly, Elon believes Teslabot will be used to achieve realworld AGI and realworld AI. He also believes that SpaceX Super Heavy Starship will be used to place humans on Mars. 2029 feels like a pivotal year. …
Brian Wang explores what SpaceX will be achieving this decade. Brian is a SpaceX investor and is a member of angel investment groups including Space Angels and Allocations which each make many space investments. The keys to the SpaceX decade will be the Super Heavy Starship and rapid reuse of it. The rapid reuse will …
Tesla is preparing to split its stock again. $TSLA hasn’t announced a stock split yet but by seeking approval to increase the authorized shares at the upcoming AGM, the Board is signaling its intent. After $TSLA announced its 5:1 split on Aug 11, 2020, TSLA stock increased 81% in 20 days, from $275 to $498 …
Worldometers is reporting cumulative US COVID deaths at 1,000,355 as of today for yesterdays data. The CDC reports that as of Monday, March 21 the US has had a total of 971,422 and will add the Tuesday number today to get to about 972,400. The CDC data will report the US passing 1 million cumulative …
Nextbigfuture pointed out the brain dead forecast made 9 days ago for cumulative COVID deaths in the USA by Washington University IHME. They projected out one hundred days that total US COVID deaths would reach 947,622 by June 1, 2022. They had updated an older forecast made about a month before that was predicting about …
BYD has increased its 2022 battery-electric (BEV) and plug-in hybrid electric (PHEV) car production target from 1.2 million to 1.5 million units. BYD’s old target was about half BEV and half hybrid (600K each). I would expect the new target to be 800K BEV and 700K PHEV. In terms of battery electric cars, Tesla is …
IHME (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) has a statistical model to forecast COVID deaths and hospitalizations. The Annals of Internal Medicine had a review from 2020. The IHME projections are based not on transmission dynamics but on a statistical model with no epidemiologic basis. Specifically, the model used reported worldwide COVID-19 deaths and extrapolated …
Metaculus is a prediction competition site and they have a question on Chinese fertility in 2031. China had a total fertility rate (TFR) of only 1.3 in 2020, well below the replacement level. China’s fertility rate stood at just 1.3 This was even lower than 1.34 in Japan. China’s nominal GDP per capita is only …
What would the rough shape of the world be if the Big Tech companies and Cryptocurrency continue on their current trajectories? For years, people with traditional financial backgrounds would say that Apple, Tesla or other Big Tech would not continue multiplying profitability and revenue. People have been saying this about Tesla, Cryptocurrency and many other …
Canada’ century Initiative calls for a bigger, bolder Canada with over 100 million people by 2100. Former Canadian Prime Minister Mulroney supports the new national policy that would commit to tripling Canada’s population by 2100. By 2026, Century Initiative says Canada should pin the annual immigration target to 1.25 percent of its population per year. …
