Dr Marty Makary of Johns Hopkins estimates that the US had 50,000 to 500,000 coronavirus cases on March 13, 2020. The cases tend to double over 5-10 day periods. Khan Academy walks you through the undetected case math and the 20-day delay between infection and death. SOURCES – Marty Markey, Khan Academy Written By Brian …
Passive antibody therapy is where the blood of patients who have just survived and are recovering from coronavirus is taken and given to the most at-risk people (old but healthy enough to take the treatment). Can they also use the blood of people with mild cases? If we can do the proper tracing can we …
San Francisco has ordered everyone to shelter in place starting at Midnight. This will spread as we follow what Wuhan did. This is good in that it is our best shot at mitigating COVID-19 but bad in that activity (business- everything) is frozen. There are some better numbers on COVID-19 projections. Databrew.cc has projections that …
Tomas Pueyo has an excellent article about how early shutdowns reduce the spread of coronvirus COVID-19. Each day earlier action on social distancing can a 40% reduction in disease spread. Hourly hand-cleaning is an enhancer of social distancing and will get us let us get back to re-open a bit earlier and safer. Hourly hand …
Problem: Hand sanitizer supply is critical for reducing the spread of coronavirus but we are massively short on supply. Hourly hand sanitizer usage would reduce disease spread by 70% reduction (Extrapolating MIT Simulation Study). In 2019, the industry made about 200,000 tons per year of sanitizer. We really need that amount for a day. The …
Coronavirus deaths outside of China are over 2000 and China has 3062 Coronovirus deaths. It seems that in one or two days the Coronavirus deaths outside of China will pass China levels. The official case count outside of China is passing the official case count in China. The cases outside of China are still growing …
The problem in US is not that the Coronavirus is out of control, It is that we have no idea because of lack of tests. The US is rolling out new test kits and will be doing 10,000 tests per week at the end of this and then 20,000 per week at the end of …
There were critical elements for the speed of China’s coronavirus response. 1. Everyone needed to know the first symptoms. These are a fever and a dry cough. 2. China had a giant network of fever hospitals. A team can go to a possible case, swab and provide a positive or negative diagnosis in four to …
Italy reports 1835 are the people who test positive for the coronavirus. 149 people have recovered. There are 742 patients hospitalized with symptoms, 166 are in intensive care, while 927 are in home isolation. This seems to indicate that three times as many people end in intensive care than die. It means that 11 times …
Dr. Scott Gottlieb, member of the boards of Pfizer and biotech company Illumina and former FDA commissioner, and Dr. Matt McCarthy, an infectious disease physician, were on CNBC to discuss the latest on the coronavirus outbreak. McCarthy and Gottlieb believe there are now in a few thousand undiagnosed coronavirus cases in the United States. The …
South Korea now has over 4000 confirmed cases of Coronavirus and Italy is almost at 1700 and Iran is nearing 1000 confirmed cases. Iran has 54 confirmed deaths, 34 in Italy and 26 in South Korea. The reversal of confirmed cases with confirmed deaths in Iran would suggest that Iran and Italy are undercounting confirmed …