China has imposed partial lockdowns in Shanghai and Shenzhen as it grapples with a surge in COVID-19 cases, raising concerns of new global supply chain disruptions and threatening the country’s economic growth target. Economists warned of massive disruptions for manufacturers due to port, airport and factory closures as the country’s richest regions go into lockdowns. …
A study of Ivermectin invited the entire population of Itajaí, Brazil. In the absence of contrain indications, ivermectin was offered as an optional treatment to be taken for two consecutive days every 15 days at a dose of 0.2 mg/kg/day. This was a very small dose. The positive indications from this study are even stronger …
Pfizer has starting releasing their vaccine safety data per a court-ordered instruction to satisfy a freedom of information request. The data for the first 3 months has been released and partially analyzed. Pfizer reports over 47000 adverse effects and 127 deaths in the first 3 months. This is roughly in line with Vaccine Adverse Event …
Nextbigfuture pointed out the brain dead forecast made 9 days ago for cumulative COVID deaths in the USA by Washington University IHME. They projected out one hundred days that total US COVID deaths would reach 947,622 by June 1, 2022. They had updated an older forecast made about a month before that was predicting about …
South Africa, Denmark and the UK were all ahead of the USA in their Omicron BA.1 waves and are now ahead of the US with Omicron BA.2. Denmark and the UK have populations that are more vaccinated than Americans. South Africa has lower vaccination levels. The UK demographics in terms of obesity and age is …
IHME (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) has a statistical model to forecast COVID deaths and hospitalizations. The Annals of Internal Medicine had a review from 2020. The IHME projections are based not on transmission dynamics but on a statistical model with no epidemiologic basis. Specifically, the model used reported worldwide COVID-19 deaths and extrapolated …
The daily COVID data for the US, South Africa and the UK indicate that the next two months will see a US COVID seven day moving average daily death rate in the 2000-4000 range. South Africa had the Omicron wave about 6 weeks before the US. The Omicron wave peaked in South Africa about 6 …
Covid-19 death rates are 10 times higher in countries where more than half of the adult population is classified as overweight according to a comprehensive report from the World Obesity Federation has found. Many people want to point to some moral failing to not comply with mask usage or insufficient vaccination as the reason for …
The CDC recorded 3916 COVID deaths for February 1st, 2022 and the official cumulative US count of COVID deaths is 888,000. The number of daily cases counted peaked about two weeks ago but the COVID daily deaths will likely not decline for 8 weeks. The lack of decline in daily COVID deaths is because you …
The Institute for Health Metrics (IHME) is projecting that Omicron Covid cases in the USA will peak at around 2.8 million cases per day and that there are currently about 1.5 million cases per day in the USA. They are projecting it will be over 1.5 million cases per day for the next 60 days …
The CDC (US Center for Disease Control) predicts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 deaths will likely increase over the next 4 weeks, with 8,900 to 15,600 new deaths likely reported in the week ending January 8, 2022. The CDC recorded 8000 covid deaths in the prior 7 days. The national ensemble predicts that …