China’s Economy is Over the Hill and Will Not Pass the USA in GDP

In 2022, Nextbigfuture noted that China’s economy had basically stalled out. China’s economy was extraordinary and outperformed relative to other countries for decades. It did this by catching up. China’s economy will be stalled for the 10-15 years as its population and working age population shrinks and ages. However, after the stall is the steep …

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National Economies That Already Hit Economic Wall and Are Flat or Declining

I have predicted the relative success of the Canadian economy by 2040-2050. This is NOT predicting an economic miracle for Canada but avoiding economic disaster. Japan, Germany, UK, France and Italy have all ALREADY hit an economic and demographic wall. They have ALREADY flat, aging and even declining populations. It is a prediction based upon …

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How Canada Could Become the Third or Fourth Largest Economy in the World by the 2040s

Canada could become the third largest economy in the world by the 2040s. Canada has more than doubled its population growth rate to 2.7% to 3.0% per year in the last two years. This is adding 1.0 to 1.3 million people per year. Canada is mainly adding college educated people from India, Asia and Europe. …

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Japan’s Economy Is Heading for Rapid Decline and No Retirement

NHK, one of Japan’s main media companies, had a segment where Japan is worried about dropping from its ranking as the third place economy (nominal GDP). Japan sees its economy falling behind Germany. Germany has a population of 84 million people while Japan has 122 million. Japan’s per capita income has also cratered a rapidly …

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Low Population in 2050 for $50 Trillion Economic Loss – Over Ten Times More Than Climate Change

We do NOT know if the climate models are correct. There are predictions that worsening storms and drought will have economic losses that are 20-50 times worse than today by 2050. The older predictions of flooding or winters without snow have not happened. However, we know for certain that lowering birth rates will result in …

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